Europe should start to beat scaled-back expectations. Read full country note (PDF economic growth in the euro area is set to continue at a relatively dynamic pace of just above 2 per cent over 2018-19. Confidence and consumption have declined, but are still above average. Citi Economic Surprise Indices. Employment Recovery Almost Complete The Eurozones unemployment rate was.3 in June 2018, down from.1 in mid-2013 and one percentage point above its lowest level in the first quarter of 2008. Even so, we see a case for holding onto Euro-area exposure.
Eurozone Economic Outlook: Q1 2018 - Euromonitor International Eurozone Economic Outlook: Q3 2018 International Euro Area Economic Outlook Data, Statistics Forecasts Eurozone Outlook 2018 - Capital spending leads the way Eurozone manufacturing Rock Rolls brightening outlook for 2018
Net exports made a negative contribution to growth and the global trade picture has worsened, but consumption and investment continue to support growth. The prime working-age employment rate in the Eurozone in 2018 is similar to levels from the early 2000s, though it remains below the highs of the pre-crisis boom. This is a notable contrast to the.S., where profits and economic indicators have surpassed expectations. Negotiations on the UKs withdrawal from the European Union (EU) are moving towards their final and most uncertain phase. Since then it has climbed back to pre-financial crisis levels. Despite the more optimistic outlook, large negative effects of the financial crisis on consumption and household income are likely to persist. Italys economy has stagnated in and the situation is even worse in terms of consumption per capita, which.4 below its level in 2001. Unrequited expectations, europe has tantalized as an investment opportunity over the past few years. The economy has underperformed over the first half of the year, and corporate profit expectations have been revised lower. The main risk in our view as we look toward the fourth quarter is an escalation.S.-China trade war.
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